Monday, August 29, 2011

Talking Horses: Latest news and best bets in our daily racing blog ...

The finish to the 2011 Supreme Stakes at Goodwood, won by Libranno

Libranno, far left, wins Sunday's Supreme Stakes at Goodwood after a close-fought tussle with Jacqueline Quest. Photograph: Julian Herbert/Action Images

Today's best bets, by Will Hayler

Madam Isshe (2.05) has gone '4-3-2' in her last three starts and, even as non-Mensa member, I can see what the next number in her sequence should be at Chepstow today. If my ship ever sails home, I'll definitely be sending Malcolm Saunders a couple of horses, both because of the exploits of his excellent veteran sprinter Repertory and because of his general record of extracting wins from moderate horses.

With an official rating of just 52, Madam Isshe is clearly a very ordinary performer but, after taking three runs to get her eye back in this season, she has shown more consistency than most of these rivals in her recent spins and is back down to the same mark from which she registered her only previous success at Bath this year.

She also has the services of Jake Payne in the saddle, who in my view would be the best rider in this race, a contest restricted to jockeys who have ridden less than 10 winners.

Paul Hanagan should have a good day at Newcastle, with Warcrown (2.15) even-money to make amends for his disastrous debut at Goodwood last month. Richard Fahey had made no bones about the fact that Warcrown was considered his best two-year-old, bar none, before that race and evens could look big if he can do on the track what he clearly does at home.

A half-brother to George Washington and Grandera, Lordofthehouse (5.10) seems not to have inherited much of the ability of his famous siblings, but an illustration of the unpredictable nature of breeding racehorses comes from the fact that, even in winning a race, he has achieved more than three of the other six horses produced by his dam, Bordighera.

Lordofthehouse has thrived for moving up in distance and struck up an immediate rapport with Hanagan when winning at Haydock three weeks ago, battling back to beat Man Of God, having been headed at the furlong-pole. A 4lb higher mark looks perfectly manageable.

Over the jumps, it will be a major disappointment if Priceless Art (2.15) doesn't take the opener at Bangor and I'd be a backer, even at 1-2. Rated highly by Alan Swinbank, he hasn't always looked the easiest of rides, but the stable are in much better form now than when he disappointed a couple of times in the spring and, if anyone is going to persuade him to find as much he needs to under pressure, it's Tony McCoy.

Not that I expect Priceless Art to have to work too hard to beat these rivals. Although he has still to get his head in front in three starts over hurdles, his bumper form should mean that he has far too much speed for winning point-to-pointer Lough Derg Way.

Incidentally, McCoy has a fair chance of going through the card at Bangor, with six short-priced mounts. I remember him having five at Kempton on Boxing Day one time, but I'm pretty sure he's never managed six winners at one meeting before.

Tipping competition returns tomorrow

As it's a Bank Holiday, we're holding over the start of this week's competition until tomorrow, Tuesday, when we will all need something to divert us from the fact of being back at work.

In the meantime, last week's 'winner', johne5knuckle, should hopefully be enjoying his prize, a day at Cartmel races with a night at the Swan Hotel to follow. In fact, it was zizkov123 who won last week, but he sportingly declared himself unable to take the prize and passed it on to johne as the runner-up.

Click here for all the day's racecards, form, stats and results.

Post your tips or racing-related comments below.

Source: http://www.guardian.co.uk/sport/blog/2011/aug/29/horse-racing-live-29-august-2011

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